Portland
W-L: (24-27) PR = 93.2679Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 9- 3 214 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 1- 2 215 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 7-10 218 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 5-12 220 H Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 1-15 221 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 2- 3 222 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 2- 6 227 H Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 8- 5 228 H Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 3- 1 301 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 1- 9 305 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 15- 5 306 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 10- 0 307 H Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 13- 3 308 H Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 11- 3 314 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 5- 8 314 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 8- 6 315 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 5- 3 317 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 3- 7 320 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 5- 3 321 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 13- 4 322 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 4- 3 323 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 8- 3 327 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 0- 3 328 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 8- 5 329 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 6- 1 331 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 3- 0 402 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 1- 5 403 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 2- 6 404 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 3- 0 408 A UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 13- 7 410 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 6- 6 411 A Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 3-11 412 A Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 11-12 413 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 3- 9 417 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 5- 3 418 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 4- 5 419 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 11- 0 421 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 1- 8 424 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 3- 6 425 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 1- 3 426 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 3- 1 430 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 9- 6 501 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 4- 8 502 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 9- 5 505 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 4- 6 508 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 3- 5 509 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 1- 8 510 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 2- 5 512 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 3- 8 514 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 5- 9 515 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 3-10 516 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 9- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Purdue 9- 3 6 -4 +++ 9.75
214 A Purdue 1- 2 -1 -4 + 2.75
215 A Purdue 7-10 -3 -4 0.75
218 H Butler 5-12 -7 2 --- -9.08
220 H Miami 1-15 -14 -3 --- -11.50
221 A UC Santa Barbara 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.67
222 A UC Santa Barbara 2- 6 -4 -4 -0.33
227 H Niagara 8- 5 3 5 -1.89
228 H Niagara 3- 1 2 5 - -2.89
301 A Washington State 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.58
305 A UC San Diego 15- 5 10 -2 +++ 11.83
306 A Illinois 10- 0 10 -3 +++ 12.56
307 H Holy Cross 13- 3 10 3 +++ 7.11
308 H Holy Cross 11- 3 8 3 ++ 5.11
314 H UConn 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.59
314 H UConn 8- 6 2 0 + 2.41
315 H UConn 5- 3 2 0 + 2.41
317 A Loyola Marymount 3- 7 -4 2 -- -5.63
320 A Loyola Marymount 5- 3 2 2 0.37
321 H Stanford 13- 4 9 -1 +++ 9.61
322 A Loyola Marymount 4- 3 1 2 -0.63
323 H Northwestern 8- 3 5 1 + 3.57
327 H Saint Mary's 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.37
328 H Saint Mary's 8- 5 3 -1 + 3.63
329 H Saint Mary's 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.63
331 A Oregon 3- 0 3 -5 +++ 7.53
402 A Seattle U 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.86
403 A Seattle U 2- 6 -4 2 -- -5.86
404 A Seattle U 3- 0 3 2 1.14
408 A UNLV 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.09
410 H Oregon State 6- 6 0 -2 + 2.33
411 A Gonzaga 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.89
412 A Gonzaga 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.11
413 A Washington State 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -4.58
417 H San Francisco 5- 3 2 3 -0.96
418 H San Francisco 4- 5 -1 3 - -3.96
419 H San Francisco 11- 0 11 3 +++ 8.04
421 H Washington 1- 8 -7 0 --- -7.07
424 A Santa Clara 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.20
425 A Santa Clara 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.20
426 A Santa Clara 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.80
430 H San Diego 9- 6 3 1 1.65
501 H San Diego 4- 8 -4 1 -- -5.35
502 H San Diego 9- 5 4 1 + 2.65
505 H Oregon State 4- 6 -2 -2 0.33
508 A Pepperdine 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.13
509 A Pepperdine 1- 8 -7 1 --- -8.13
510 A Pepperdine 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.13
512 A Oregon State 3- 8 -5 -4 -1.32
514 A San Francisco 5- 9 -4 2 -- -5.60
515 A San Francisco 3-10 -7 2 --- -8.60
516 H Pacific 9- 5 4 2 + 2.46
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Butler 5-12 -7 2 --- -9.08 220 H Miami 1-15 -14 -3 --- -11.50 301 A Washington State 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.58 421 H Washington 1- 8 -7 0 --- -7.07 509 A Pepperdine 1- 8 -7 1 --- -8.13 515 A San Francisco 3-10 -7 2 --- -8.60 317 A Loyola Marymount 3- 7 -4 2 -- -5.63 402 A Seattle U 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.86 403 A Seattle U 2- 6 -4 2 -- -5.86 411 A Gonzaga 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.89 413 A Washington State 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -4.58 501 H San Diego 4- 8 -4 1 -- -5.35 510 A Pepperdine 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.13 514 A San Francisco 5- 9 -4 2 -- -5.60 228 H Niagara 3- 1 2 5 - -2.89 314 H UConn 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.59 327 H Saint Mary's 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.37 418 H San Francisco 4- 5 -1 3 - -3.96 424 A Santa Clara 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.20 508 A Pepperdine 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Purdue 9- 3 6 -4 +++ 9.75 305 A UC San Diego 15- 5 10 -2 +++ 11.83 306 A Illinois 10- 0 10 -3 +++ 12.56 307 H Holy Cross 13- 3 10 3 +++ 7.11 321 H Stanford 13- 4 9 -1 +++ 9.61 331 A Oregon 3- 0 3 -5 +++ 7.53 419 H San Francisco 11- 0 11 3 +++ 8.04 308 H Holy Cross 11- 3 8 3 ++ 5.11 329 H Saint Mary's 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.63 408 A UNLV 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.09 214 A Purdue 1- 2 -1 -4 + 2.75 221 A UC Santa Barbara 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.67 314 H UConn 8- 6 2 0 + 2.41 315 H UConn 5- 3 2 0 + 2.41 323 H Northwestern 8- 3 5 1 + 3.57 328 H Saint Mary's 8- 5 3 -1 + 3.63 410 H Oregon State 6- 6 0 -2 + 2.33 412 A Gonzaga 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.11 426 A Santa Clara 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.80 502 H San Diego 9- 5 4 1 + 2.65 516 H Pacific 9- 5 4 2 + 2.46 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 9- 3 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.56 17.29
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 1- 2 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.56 -0.80
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 7-10 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.56 -0.80
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 5-12 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.56 -2.42
3 H Miami (22-13, 96.4) 1-15 -3.46 14.97 -0.68 0.56 -1.15
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 2- 3 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.56 -0.82
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 2- 6 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.56 -0.82
3 H Niagara ( 1-11, 89.1) 8- 5 -10.85 7.58 -0.68 0.56 7.68
3 H Niagara ( 1-11, 89.1) 3- 1 -10.85 7.58 -0.68 0.56 7.68
3 A Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 1- 9 -5.89 12.53 0.68 0.56 -1.45
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 15- 5 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.56 15.15
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 10- 0 -4.75 13.67 0.68 0.56 15.96
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-12, 91.1) 13- 3 -8.85 9.58 -0.68 0.56 9.90
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-12, 91.1) 11- 3 -8.85 9.58 -0.68 0.56 9.90
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 5- 8 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.56 -1.73
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 8- 6 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.56 13.58
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 5- 3 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.56 13.58
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 3- 7 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.56 -2.30
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 5- 3 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.56 11.31
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 13- 4 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.56 13.80
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 4- 3 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.56 11.31
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 8- 3 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.56 11.53
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 0- 3 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.56 -1.67
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 8- 5 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.56 13.82
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 6- 1 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.56 13.82
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 3- 0 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.56 18.16
3 A Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 1- 5 -9.17 9.26 0.68 0.56 -2.36
3 A Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 2- 6 -9.17 9.26 0.68 0.56 -2.36
3 A Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 3- 0 -9.17 9.26 0.68 0.56 11.05
3 A UNLV ( 7- 9, 91.7) 13- 7 -8.21 10.21 0.68 0.56 12.11
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 6- 6 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 0.56 0.00
3 A Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 3-11 -4.20 14.23 0.68 0.56 -0.98
3 A Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 11-12 -4.20 14.23 0.68 0.56 -0.98
3 A Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 3- 9 -5.89 12.53 0.68 0.56 -1.45
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 5- 3 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.56 9.83
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 4- 5 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.56 -2.67
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 11- 0 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.56 9.83
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 1- 8 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.56 -1.86
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 3- 6 -6.51 11.91 0.68 0.56 -1.62
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 1- 3 -6.51 11.91 0.68 0.56 -1.62
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 3- 1 -6.51 11.91 0.68 0.56 14.00
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 9- 6 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.56 11.62
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 4- 8 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.56 -2.22
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 9- 5 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.56 11.62
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 4- 6 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 0.56 -1.20
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 3- 5 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.56 -2.16
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 1- 8 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.56 -2.16
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 2- 5 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.56 -2.16
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 3- 8 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.56 -0.82
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 5- 9 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.56 -2.29
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 3-10 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.56 -2.29
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 9- 5 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 0.56 11.41
------
250.79
|
winning pts = 295.9472 losing points = -45.1606
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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